Dubai off-plan ranked by what the payment plan is worth
An off-plan headline price is a number attached to a schedule. A plan that takes 20% on booking and the rest across construction and a post-handover tail collects the same total years later, so in today's money it is worth less than the same total paid on completion day. Discounting each published schedule to present value at 5.0% a year gives an effective price, and the gap between it and the headline is the plan discount ranked here.
Across 1,937 projects with a schedule we can price, the median plan is worth 5.29% of its headline, with the middle half between 2.94% and 7.69%. Jumeirah Islands has the deepest community median in Dubai at 10.15% over 11 ranked projects, DAMAC Hills 2 the shallowest at 1.89%. Among builders, Dugasta writes the deepest terms at 15.19% across 8 projects and Eagle Hills the tightest at 2.32%.
This is a financing term, not a price cut, and it is worth reading next to a rate rather than instead of one. The two rate columns show it: the median asking rate for the address, and the same rate multiplied by the plan's present value. 1,937 of 2,924 tracked off-plan projects reach this table, 66% of the book. The rest publish no schedule we can price or carry a handover date that has already passed, and they are absent rather than estimated.
Dubai communities by median plan discount
Dot is the median AED per sqft, bar is p25 to p75, dashed rule is the Dubai median at 2,021. Figures after each name are the median AED per sqft and the base count.
- Jumeirah Islands2,519 11
- Jebel Ali1,833 17
- Expo City Dubai1,916 13
- Dubai Creek Harbour2,440 19
- Dubai Investments Park1,554 38
- Dubai Industrial City1,438 21
- Motor City1,946 18
- The Oasis by Emaar1,688 11
- Dubai Maritime City2,766 29
- Dubailand1,518 81
- DAMAC Islands1,128 18
- Mina Rashid2,454 21
- Bukadra2,300 31
- Dubai South1,342 104
- Wasl Gate1,335 18
- Dubai Land Residence Complex1,375 80
- The Valley1,205 27
- Nad Al Sheba2,578 20
- Palm Jebel Ali2,362 28
- International City1,299 10
The first 20 of 45 rows, in the order of the table below. Where a row publishes a p25 to p75 band it is drawn as the bar; where it does not, only the median is plotted.
| # | Community | Ranked projects | Median plan discount | p25 to p75 | Deepest project | Tail length stated | Median AED/sqft | Effective AED/sqft | Of tracked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jumeirah Islands | 11 | 10.15% | 7.56% to 11.42% | 12.45% | all | 2,519 | 2,306 | 11 of 13 |
| 2 | Jebel Ali | 17 | 9.13% | 4.64% to 9.97% | 15.49% | 16 of 17 | 1,833 | 1,694 | 17 of 37 |
| 3 | Expo City Dubai | 13 | 8.10% | 5.70% to 9.85% | 10.63% | 9 of 13 | 1,916 | 1,837 | 13 of 22 |
| 4 | Dubai Creek Harbour | 19 | 7.69% | 3.24% to 8.99% | 9.89% | all | 2,440 | 2,317 | 19 of 55 |
| 5 | Dubai Investments Park | 38 | 7.28% | 6.80% to 7.89% | 11.38% | all | 1,554 | 1,468 | 38 of 74 |
| 6 | Dubai Industrial City | 21 | 7.04% | 5.49% to 11.69% | 18.34% | 15 of 21 | 1,438 | 1,269 | 21 of 27 |
| 7 | Motor City | 18 | 6.46% | 4.11% to 8.14% | 10.71% | all | 1,946 | 1,785 | 18 of 25 |
| 8 | The Oasis by Emaar | 11 | 6.37% | 5.41% to 7.79% | 9.08% | all | 1,688 | 1,595 | 11 of 22 |
| 9 | Dubai Maritime City | 29 | 6.30% | 2.49% to 9.13% | 11.99% | 25 of 29 | 2,766 | 2,580 | 29 of 39 |
| 10 | Dubailand | 81 | 6.03% | 4.46% to 9.15% | 11.18% | 80 of 81 | 1,518 | 1,401 | 81 of 117 |
| 11 | DAMAC Islands | 18 | 5.93% | 5.93% to 6.80% | 9.38% | all | 1,128 | 1,025 | 18 of 28 |
| 12 | Mina Rashid | 21 | 5.83% | 4.38% to 8.49% | 10.47% | all | 2,454 | 2,315 | 21 of 27 |
| 13 | Bukadra | 31 | 5.71% | 3.70% to 6.93% | 10.41% | 29 of 31 | 2,300 | 2,211 | 31 of 33 |
| 14 | Dubai South | 104 | 5.68% | 3.60% to 6.96% | 20.72% | 88 of 104 | 1,342 | 1,270 | 104 of 165 |
| 15 | Wasl Gate | 18 | 5.55% | 4.50% to 7.39% | 10.77% | 16 of 18 | 1,335 | 1,275 | 18 of 21 |
| 16 | Dubai Land Residence Complex | 80 | 5.53% | 3.43% to 7.68% | 14.94% | 69 of 80 | 1,375 | 1,315 | 80 of 103 |
| 17 | The Valley | 27 | 5.41% | 2.85% to 6.14% | 12.41% | all | 1,205 | 1,146 | 27 of 57 |
| 18 | Nad Al Sheba | 20 | 5.39% | 2.92% to 6.65% | 9.14% | all | 2,578 | 2,382 | 20 of 29 |
| 19 | Palm Jebel Ali | 28 | 5.29% | 3.46% to 5.49% | 11.24% | all | 2,362 | 2,237 | 28 of 49 |
| 20 | International City | 10 | 5.12% | 3.31% to 6.49% | 8.89% | 9 of 10 | 1,299 | 1,216 | 10 of 27 |
| 21 | Dubailand Residence Complex | 11 | 4.85% | 2.55% to 5.80% | 8.65% | all | 1,383 | 1,344 | 11 of 15 |
| 22 | Dubai Production City | 25 | 4.71% | 3.77% to 7.52% | 21.39% | 23 of 25 | 1,362 | 1,274 | 25 of 37 |
| 23 | Town Square | 21 | 4.61% | 3.28% to 6.34% | 9.75% | all | 1,393 | 1,333 | 21 of 42 |
| 24 | Jumeirah Village Circle | 105 | 4.55% | 2.28% to 6.82% | 16.11% | 96 of 105 | 1,547 | 1,469 | 105 of 295 |
| 25 | Dubai Islands | 145 | 4.50% | 2.94% to 6.17% | 16.62% | 139 of 145 | 2,372 | 2,248 | 145 of 187 |
| 26 | Dubai Sports City | 14 | 4.48% | 2.85% to 7.35% | 9.73% | all | 1,497 | 1,432 | 14 of 35 |
| 27 | Jumeirah Village Triangle | 33 | 4.48% | 2.99% to 6.78% | 9.87% | 26 of 33 | 1,800 | 1,717 | 33 of 68 |
| 28 | Dubai Harbour | 14 | 4.46% | 1.56% to 6.73% | 8.09% | all | 4,000 | 3,732 | 14 of 26 |
| 29 | Palm Jumeirah | 19 | 4.22% | 1.27% to 6.23% | 11.00% | all | 5,993 | 5,617 | 19 of 53 |
| 30 | Al Warsan | 18 | 4.10% | 2.15% to 7.05% | 15.44% | 17 of 18 | 1,208 | 1,135 | 18 of 35 |
| 31 | Majan | 29 | 3.76% | 1.91% to 6.84% | 10.27% | 27 of 29 | 1,526 | 1,470 | 29 of 53 |
| 32 | Dubai Hills Estate | 30 | 3.74% | 1.18% to 6.59% | 8.30% | all | 2,409 | 2,268 | 30 of 70 |
| 33 | Meydan | 32 | 3.70% | 1.96% to 6.12% | 10.93% | 31 of 32 | 2,165 | 2,070 | 32 of 100 |
| 34 | Al Satwa | 28 | 3.54% | 2.08% to 5.59% | 8.20% | all | 2,313 | 2,211 | 28 of 54 |
| 35 | Al Jaddaf | 15 | 3.51% | 2.13% to 5.27% | 7.80% | all | 2,087 | 2,016 | 15 of 41 |
| 36 | Arjan | 21 | 3.49% | 1.36% to 7.74% | 12.06% | 20 of 21 | 1,706 | 1,591 | 21 of 61 |
| 37 | Business Bay | 49 | 3.32% | 2.12% to 7.57% | 15.34% | 46 of 49 | 3,243 | 2,926 | 49 of 134 |
| 38 | Downtown Dubai | 14 | 3.26% | 1.61% to 5.01% | 12.35% | all | 3,852 | 3,650 | 14 of 42 |
| 39 | Jumeirah Lake Towers | 10 | 3.26% | 1.51% to 7.10% | 8.98% | 9 of 10 | 2,379 | 2,271 | 10 of 32 |
| 40 | Dubai Science Park | 10 | 3.25% | 2.17% to 5.28% | 9.76% | 8 of 10 | 1,779 | 1,747 | 10 of 21 |
| 41 | Dubai Marina | 12 | 3.11% | 1.45% to 4.98% | 11.40% | all | 2,934 | 2,869 | 12 of 34 |
| 42 | Mohammed Bin Rashid City | 37 | 2.73% | 1.18% to 5.36% | 8.97% | 36 of 37 | 1,918 | 1,846 | 37 of 89 |
| 43 | DAMAC Lagoons | 14 | 2.68% | 1.79% to 4.17% | 8.54% | all | 1,675 | 1,607 | 14 of 46 |
| 44 | Al Furjan | 34 | 2.62% | 1.22% to 4.98% | 10.30% | 33 of 34 | 1,451 | 1,397 | 34 of 89 |
| 45 | DAMAC Hills 2 | 14 | 1.89% | 1.22% to 2.50% | 3.47% | all | 1,256 | 1,227 | 14 of 35 |
"Ranked projects" is the base the median is computed over, and "of tracked" is that base against every project the corpus holds at the address, ranked or not. Where the two are far apart the median describes the schedules we could price, not the whole address.
Developers by median plan discount
| # | Developer | Ranked projects | Median plan discount | p25 to p75 | Deepest project | Tail length stated | Effective AED/sqft | Of tracked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dugasta | 8 | 15.19% | 9.35% to 15.44% | 16.68% | all | 1,636 | 8 of 13 |
| 2 | GJ | 10 | 9.48% | 4.73% to 9.74% | 12.80% | all | 513 | 10 of 21 |
| 3 | Beyond | 18 | 9.15% | 7.60% to 10.08% | 10.88% | 17 of 18 | 2,592 | 18 of 28 |
| 4 | Expo City Dubai | 10 | 8.15% | 5.51% to 10.01% | 10.63% | 6 of 10 | 1,777 | 10 of 19 |
| 5 | Modon | 16 | 7.76% | 4.22% to 11.16% | 14.44% | all | 1,591 | 16 of 25 |
| 6 | Reportage | 29 | 7.43% | 4.35% to 9.20% | 11.38% | all | 1,496 | 29 of 51 |
| 7 | BT | 9 | 7.32% | 6.31% to 7.67% | 10.69% | 5 of 9 | 1,053 | 9 of 10 |
| 8 | Reef Luxury | 8 | 7.16% | 2.50% to 8.68% | 11.30% | 7 of 8 | 1,501 | 8 of 9 |
| 9 | Sobha Realty | 76 | 7.06% | 4.27% to 9.13% | 15.34% | all | 2,257 | 76 of 109 |
| 10 | Zoya | 11 | 7.04% | 6.15% to 8.89% | 11.69% | 10 of 11 | 1,222 | 11 of 12 |
| 11 | Tiger Properties | 16 | 7.01% | 3.22% to 8.99% | 12.56% | 13 of 16 | 2,005 | 16 of 31 |
| 12 | Danube | 17 | 6.73% | 3.51% to 10.15% | 12.68% | 13 of 17 | 2,001 | 17 of 31 |
| 13 | RAK | 15 | 6.73% | 4.91% to 8.59% | 9.81% | all | 1,845 | 15 of 38 |
| 14 | Alef | 22 | 6.73% | 3.25% to 10.07% | 17.24% | 12 of 22 | 1,014 | 22 of 47 |
| 15 | Aldar | 76 | 6.38% | 4.69% to 8.63% | 14.56% | 74 of 76 | 1,597 | 76 of 159 |
| 16 | Dubai South Properties | 11 | 6.29% | 2.77% to 6.82% | 10.80% | 6 of 11 | 1,110 | 11 of 25 |
| 17 | LEOS International | 9 | 6.28% | 3.77% to 7.22% | 7.79% | 8 of 9 | 1,438 | 9 of 13 |
| 18 | AG | 8 | 6.28% | 3.98% to 8.39% | 10.52% | all | 931 | 8 of 10 |
| 19 | Emaar | 165 | 6.25% | 3.79% to 7.89% | 11.19% | all | 1,804 | 165 of 332 |
| 20 | Arada | 36 | 6.07% | 4.76% to 8.61% | 12.35% | all | 1,194 | 36 of 85 |
| 21 | Burtville | 11 | 6.07% | 5.41% to 7.23% | 7.75% | all | 1,563 | 11 of 15 |
| 22 | Wasl | 17 | 6.04% | 4.76% to 7.57% | 10.77% | 16 of 17 | 1,404 | 17 of 25 |
| 23 | Ellington | 41 | 5.98% | 2.56% to 7.62% | 9.79% | all | 2,456 | 41 of 88 |
| 24 | Meraas | 34 | 5.79% | 2.56% to 7.36% | 11.90% | all | 2,820 | 34 of 97 |
| 25 | Mira Developments | 9 | 5.73% | 1.12% to 8.44% | 12.84% | 8 of 9 | 1,972 | 9 of 11 |
| 26 | Iman Developers | 8 | 5.68% | 3.71% to 8.75% | 9.28% | all | 1,717 | 8 of 16 |
| 27 | GFS | 14 | 5.51% | 5.47% to 7.63% | 9.39% | 0 of 14 | 1,205 | 14 of 15 |
| 28 | Avenew | 10 | 5.23% | 4.92% to 6.14% | 8.58% | all | 2,556 | 10 of 13 |
| 29 | Mr Eight | 8 | 5.11% | 4.48% to 6.66% | 10.68% | all | 3,620 | 8 of 8 |
| 30 | H&H | 11 | 5.06% | 2.97% to 7.41% | 11.01% | all | 3,602 | 11 of 30 |
| 31 | Taraf | 12 | 4.97% | 1.84% to 5.95% | 13.63% | all | 1,393 | 12 of 16 |
| 32 | Bloom Holding | 10 | 4.92% | 4.58% to 5.52% | 9.69% | 7 of 10 | 1,379 | 10 of 26 |
| 33 | Nshama | 22 | 4.74% | 3.36% to 6.25% | 9.75% | all | 1,350 | 22 of 43 |
| 34 | BNW | 11 | 4.72% | 3.39% to 5.28% | 10.88% | all | 2,396 | 11 of 14 |
| 35 | Deyaar | 11 | 4.69% | 3.70% to 5.03% | 12.15% | all | 1,338 | 11 of 26 |
| 36 | Object 1 | 40 | 4.50% | 3.25% to 5.74% | 8.50% | 30 of 40 | 1,537 | 40 of 61 |
| 37 | Prestige One | 11 | 4.14% | 3.11% to 6.01% | 8.98% | 10 of 11 | 1,946 | 11 of 18 |
| 38 | DAMAC | 103 | 4.12% | 2.28% to 6.89% | 11.99% | all | 1,538 | 103 of 249 |
| 39 | Omniyat | 11 | 3.92% | 1.25% to 4.73% | 7.57% | all | 7,964 | 11 of 22 |
| 40 | Samana | 35 | 3.91% | 2.36% to 6.97% | 21.39% | 33 of 35 | 1,780 | 35 of 61 |
| 41 | Nakheel | 48 | 3.82% | 2.04% to 5.29% | 11.24% | all | 2,222 | 48 of 97 |
| 42 | Majid Al Futtaim | 12 | 3.66% | 1.10% to 5.36% | 10.15% | all | 1,700 | 12 of 21 |
| 43 | Imtiaz | 32 | 3.47% | 2.37% to 5.03% | 12.07% | 30 of 32 | 1,765 | 32 of 47 |
| 44 | Azizi | 50 | 3.42% | 2.16% to 4.92% | 10.88% | 48 of 50 | 1,735 | 50 of 134 |
| 45 | Binghatti | 34 | 2.80% | 1.70% to 3.65% | 7.81% | all | 2,079 | 34 of 85 |
| 46 | Eagle Hills | 11 | 2.32% | 1.75% to 4.75% | 12.33% | 10 of 11 | 1,450 | 11 of 37 |
Developer rows cover the builder's full tracked portfolio across every emirate, because payment terms are a company policy rather than an address one. Splitting a builder by emirate would rank it twice on half the evidence each time.
How this is computed
Each published payment plan is placed on a month timeline from 2026-09-02: booking at month zero, construction instalments spread evenly to the stated handover, the handover instalment at handover, and any post-handover tail spread across the months the plan states. Each step is discounted at 5.0% a year compounded monthly, and the plan's present value is divided by its own stated total, so a schedule that scrapes to 95% is not quietly cheapened by the shortfall. The plan discount is one minus that value. Where a project publishes several plans at the same headline price the deepest deferral is used, because a rational buyer takes it; plans whose name sells a cash discount are excluded from that choice, since their headline is not the headline we hold. A project is ranked only with an exact future handover date and a plan totalling 95 to 105%: 661 off-plan projects publish no schedule we can price, 222 carry a handover date already in the past so there is nothing left to discount, and 104 publish a schedule but no price. 113 of the 1,937 ranked projects needed an assumed 24 month tail length because the plan did not state one, which understates their discount; the "tail length stated" column shows where that applies. The 5.0% rate sets the size of the discount, not the order of it: the project ranking correlates 0.99998 between 3% and 5.0%. No rent, no capital growth and no handover-delay risk is credited. Payment plan and handover data as published, July 2026. Figures are OffplanIndex aggregates over developer-published project facts and unit inventories, not a copy of any listing database.
Full definitions, exclusion rules and sources are in the methodology, and what we do and do not republish is set out in the data policy. Built 2026-09-02 from data observed to 2026-07-30. Not investment advice.
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